12 May 5-2 Assignment
For this assignment, continue creating a consolidated summary of the Suspicious Activity Reports (SARs) provided, and cover what is known about the nature and imminence of the potential threat and how to protect critical information from falling into the hands of the adversary. Use Suspicious Activity Reports #1 through #15. Your essay should be in two parts, labeled “Threat Assessment” and “Information Security.”
The SARs can be found in the Assignment Guidelines and Rubrics section of the course.
Specifically, the following critical elements must be included:
III. Threat Assessment In this section of the report, you should lay out what is known about the nature and imminence of the potential threat. You may wish to use the Threat Assessment Worksheet, found in the Assignment Guidelines and Rubrics section of the course, to record and analyze relevant information from Suspicious Activities Reports (SARs) in preparing your response. However, you should present the information from the worksheet in narrative form in your finished intelligence report.
A. Distinguish the nature of the threat, including specific potential target(s), the location of likely attack (if the target is an individual), and potential means of attack based on the summary information and analysis above. Draw out the elements that would be most important to the agency receiving the report in determining the threat and focusing their efforts.
B. Assess whether the adversary has the intent, opportunity, and capability to carry out a threatening behavior. Is the threat being actively pursued? Support your answer with information from the SARs.
C. Assess the vulnerabilities of the potential target(s) and law enforcement’s ability to protect the target(s). Support your answer using information from the SARs and reasonable assumptions about potential vulnerabilities. For example, how tight is security for entry into a particular building? Could a target be threatened from a street location? Could law enforcement be impeded from quickly responding to a threat? Note that these questions are illustrative only, and the vulnerabilities that you identify should correspond to your analysis of the specific threat identified.
D. Using the analyses in Parts A–C above, assess the current level of risk using a scale from 0–10, with 0 being “no threat” and 10 being “great threat.” How imminent is the threat? Is it going to happen now, next week, in the next year, never? What level of damage could the adversary inflict if they are successful in carrying out the threat? Justify your answer based on your analysis.
E. Recommend what countermeasures, if any, might be appropriate for addressing vulnerabilities and mitigating the potential threat that you identified above. Depending on your analysis, you may suggest multiple countermeasures, a single countermeasure, or no countermeasures. Be sure to support your answer using your threat assessment analysis and information from the SARs.
IV. Information Security In this section of the report, you should address how to prevent critical information from falling into the hands of the adversary (i.e., operations security). You may wish to use the Operations Security Worksheet, found in the Assignment Guidelines and Rubrics section of the course, to record and analyze relevant information from the Suspicious Activity Reports (SARs) in preparing your response. However, you should present the information from the worksheet in narrative form in your finished intelligence report.
A. Assess what critical information surrounding the potential target and law enforcement activities to mitigate the threat needs to be protected. In other words, what information do we not want the adversary to have and why? Justify your answer.
B. Assess the adversary’s methods for collecting intelligence about their target and law enforcement activities. Are they making multiple visits to the target? Are they using informants within the community? Are they doing research on the internet? Monitoring police bands? Taking pictures? What other methods might they be using? Support your answer using information from the SARs and reasonable assumptions.
C. Assess potential weaknesses in information security that might give away critical details about the target or law enforcement activities. Support your answer using information from the SARs and reasonable assumptions.
D. Risk assessment. Using the analyses in Parts A–C above, assess the current level of risk from information security weaknesses as high, medium, or low. In other words, how high is the risk that the adversary will obtain the critical information, and what level of damage could the adversary inflict if the information is acquired? Support your answer using information from the SARs and reasonable assumptions.
E. Recommendations. Suggest what countermeasures, if any, might be appropriate for addressing the information security vulnerabilities that you identified above. Justify these suggestions in terms of monetary cost versus effectiveness. How can we prevent or subvert the adversary’s methods for collecting intelligence? How do we keep the adversary from knowing that we are aware of the threat and acting to avert it? Depending on your analysis, you may recommend multiple countermeasures, a single countermeasure, or no countermeasures. Be sure to support your answer using your operations security analysis and information from the SARs.
Guidelines for Submission: Milestone Two must be three to six pages in length with 12-point Times New Roman font, double spacing, and one-inch margins. Separate different sections with headings so that the reader can easily understand your information.
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