02 May WHAT DOES THIS ANALYSIS TELL US ABOUT THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN ABSENTEE VOTING REQUIREMENTS AND VOTER TURNOUT?
In this section you will be studying the relationship between institutional factors and voter turnout. Specifically, you will test the effect of rules governing requests for absentee ballots on turnout. ” The data file you will work with is called Pew_Early_V ote.xls. Over the past several decades, states have changed several electoral laws regarding how citizens may vote. Here we will focus on absentee voting. Absentee voting has long been available for individuals who meet certain requirements like being out of state or physically unable to make it to the polls on election. However, since 1972 many states have relaxed these requirements. This has made absentee voting an alternative to going to the polls for all citizens. Absentee ballots typically must be requested by mail or in person a certain number of days prior to election day. You will be analyzing two variables:• abs_request_deadline_inperson is the number of days before the election that voters maygo in and request an absentee ballot by personally appearing at the office of an election official. For example, if the value is equal to 10, a request for an absentee ballot made in person must be at least 10 days before the election. States that do not allow absentee ballots to be requested in person are coded as missing. • abs_request_deadline_receipt is the number of days before the election that postal requests for absentee ballots must be received in order to be honored. For example, if the value is equal to 10, a request for an absentee ballot made by mail must be received at least 10 days before the election. States that do not allow absentee ballots to be requested in by mail are coded as missing. In order to study the relationship between voter turnout and these two variables, you must add voter turnout in 2008 by state. This data is located here: Download Table 4-A and add Percent voted (Total 18+) to Pew_Early_Vote.xls for each of the corresponding states. Now we can analyze the relationship between these absentee voting requirements and voter turnout. You will first construct two separate scatterplots in which the absentee voting requirement (in-person and mail) is on the x-axis and voter turnout is on the y-axis. 2b. Now draw a scatterplot for the in-person deadline for absentee ballot requests to be received.I recommend using Microsoft Excel to construct the scatterplot and determine the regression line. If you are familiar with a different spreadsheet or data analysis program, you are welcome to use it instead—as long as you are able to complete the tasks listed here. • Remember that the scatterplot should have absentee ballot request (either in person orpostal) deadline on the x-axis and the voter turnout on the y-axis.• The axes should the labeled and the chart should have an appropriate title.Once you have drawn the scatterplot, have Excel calculate the regression line and regression equation and add it to the figure: Copy and paste the scatterplot with a regression line and regression equation into your homework document. 2c. Following the same steps as 2b, draw a scatterplot with a regression line and regression equation for he postal deadline for absentee ballots to be received. Copy and paste the scatterplot with a regression line and regression equation into your homework document. 2d. What does this analysis tell us about the relationship between absentee voting requirements and voter turnout? 2e. What does the equation for the regression line predict would the level of voter turnout in states where postal absentee ballot requests are required to be received 10 days before the election? Show your work.
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