16 Jul A VIGOROUS PROSECUTOR FOR THE FEDERAL REGULATORY AGENCY? WHY?
13.8 Assume that on average, healthy young adults dream 90 minutes each night, as inferred from a number of measures, including rapid eye move-ment (REM) sleep. An investigator wishes to determine whether drinking coffee just before going to sleep affects the amount of dream time. After drinking a standard amount of coffee, dream time is monitored for each of 28 healthy young adults in a random sample. Results show a sample mean, X, of 88 minutes and a sample standard deviation, s , of 9 minutes.
(a) Use t to test the null hypothesis at the .05 level of signifi cance.
(b) If appropriate (because the null hypothesis has been rejected), construct a 95 percent confi dence interval and interpret this interval.
13.9 In the gas mileage test described in this chapter, would you prefer a smaller or a larger sample size if you were
(a) the car manufacturer? Why?
(b) a vigorous prosecutor for the federal regulatory agency? Why?
14.11 To test compliance with authority, a classical experiment in social psychol-ogy requires subjects to administer increasingly painful electric shocks to seemingly helpless victims who agonize in an adjacent room.* Each sub-ject earns a score between 0 and 30, depending on the point at which the subject refuses to comply with authority—an investigator, dressed in a white lab coat, who orders the administration of increasingly intense shocks. A score of 0 signifi es the subject’s unwillingness to comply at the very outset, and a score of 30 signifi es the subject’s willingness to comply completely with the experimenter’s orders.
Ignore the very real ethical issues raised by this type of experiment, and assume that you want to study the effect of a “committee atmosphere” on compliance with authority. In one condition, shocks are administered only after an affi rmative decision by the committee, consisting of one real subject and two associates of the investigator, who act as subjects but in fact merely go along with the decision of the real subject. In the other condition, shocks are administered only after an affi rmative decision by a solitary real subject. A total of 12 subjects are randomly assigned, in equal numbers, to the committee condition ( X 1 ) and to the solitary condition ( X 2 ). A compliance score is obtained for each subject. Use t to test the null hypothesis at the .05 level of signifi cance.
COMPLIANCE SCORES
COMMITTEE 2 Solitary 3
5 8
20 7
15 10
4 14
10 0
*14.14 An investigator wishes to determine whether alcohol consumption causes a deterioration in the performance of automobile drivers. Before the driv-ing test, subjects drink a glass of orange juice, which, in the case of the treatment group, is laced with two ounces of vodka. Performance is mea-sured by the number of errors made on a driving simulator. A total of 120 volunteer subjects are randomly assigned, in equal numbers, to the two groups. For subjects in the treatment group, the mean number of errors ( –X1) equals 26.4, and for subjects in the control group, the mean number of errors ( –X2) equals 18.6. The estimated standard error equals 2.4.
(a) Use t to test the null hypothesis at the .05 level of signifi cance.
(b) Specify the p -value for this test result.
(c) If appropriate, construct a 95 percent confi dence interval for the true population mean difference and interpret this interval.
(d) If the test result is statistically signifi cant, use Cohen’s d to estimate the effect size, given that the standard deviation, s p , equals 13.15.
(e) State how these test results might be reported in the literature, given s 1 5 13.99 and s 2 5 12.15.
*15.7 An educational psychologist wants to check the claim that regular physical exercise improves academic achievement. To control for academic aptitude, pairs of college students with similar GPAs are randomly assigned to either a treatment group that attends daily exercise classes or a control group. At the end of the experiment, the following GPAs are reported for the seven pairs of participants:
(a) Using t , test the null hypothesis at the .01 level of signifi cance.
(b) Specify the p -value for this test result.
(c) If appropriate (because the test result is statistically signifi cant), use Cohen’s d to estimate the effect size.
(d) How might this test result be reported in the literature?
15.8 A school psychologist wishes to determine whether a new antismoking fi lm actually reduces the daily consumption of cigarettes by teenage smokers. The mean daily cigarette consumption is calculated for each of eight teen-age smokers during the month before and the month after the fi lm presen-tation, with the following results:
t TEST FOR TWO RELATED SAMPLES (REPEATED MEASURES) ( Note : When deciding on the form of the alternative hypothesis, H 1 , remember that a positive difference score ( D 5 X 1 2 X 2 ) refl ects a decline in cigarette consumption.)
(a) Using t , test the null hypothesis at the .05 level of signifi cance.
(b) Specify the p -value for this test result.
(c) If appropriate (because the null hypothesis was rejected), construct a 95 percent confi dence interval for the true population mean for all difference scores, and use Cohen’s d to obtain a standardized estimate of the effect size. Interpret these results.
(d) What might be done to improve the design of this experiment?
*15.10 In a classic study, which predates the existence of the EPO drug, Melvin Williams of Old Dominion University actually injected extra oxygen-bearing red cells into the subjects’ bloodstream just prior to a treadmill test. Twelve long-distance runners were tested in 5-mile runs on treadmills. Essentially, two running times were obtained for each athlete, once in the treatment or blood-doped condition after the injection of two pints of blood and once in the placebo control or non-blood-doped condition after the injection of a comparable amount of a harmless red saline solution. The presentation of the treatment and control conditions was counterbalanced, with half of the subjects unknowingly receiving the treatment fi rst, then the control, and the other half receiving the conditions in reverse order. Since the difference scores, as reported in the New York Times, on May 4, 1980, are calculated by subtracting blood-doped running times from control running times, a positive mean difference signifi es that the treatment has a facilitative effect, that is, the athletes’ running times are shorter when blood doped. The 12 athletes had a mean difference running time, D, of 51.33 seconds with a standard deviation, s D , of 66.33 seconds.
(a) Test the null hypothesis at the .05 level of signifi cance.
(b) Specify the p -value for this result.
(c) Would you have arrived at the same decision about the null hypothesis if the difference scores had been reversed by subtracting the control times from the blood-doped times?
(d) If appropriate, construct and interpret a 95 percent confi dence interval for the true effect of blood doping.
(e ) Calculate and interpret Cohen’s d for these results .
(f) How might this result be reported in the literature?
(g) Why is it important to counterbalance the presentation of blood-doped and control conditions?
(h) Comment on the wisdom of testing each subject twice—once under the blood-doped condition and once under the control condition—during a single 24-hour period. (Williams actually used much longer intervals in his study
15.14 In Table 7.4 on page 173, all ten top hitters in the major league baseball in 2011 had lower batting averages in 2012, supporting regression toward the mean. Treating averages as whole numbers (without decimal points) and subtracting their batting averages for 2012 from those for 2011 (so that positive difference scores support regression toward the mean), we have the following ten difference scores: 14, 39, 61, 60, 13, 21, 50, 93, 16, 61. (a) Test the null hypothesis (that the hypothetical population mean difference equals zero for all sets of top ten hitters over the years) at the .05 level of signifi cance. (b) Find the p -value. (c) Construct a 95% confi dence interval. (d) Calculate Cohen’s d . (e) How might these fi ndings be reported?
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