16 Jul HE EXPERTS BELIEVE THAT THIS GLOBALIZATION PREMIUM IS LOWER THAN IT ONCE WAS AND MAY EVEN NO LONGER EXIST.
I found this article interesting and somewhat worrisome. This piece states that experts
believe “‘globalization has probably reached its peak’” (Gold and Kantchev). It goes on
to say that “the broad slowdown in world trade and growing populist opposition to new
trade agreements are undermining corporate profits and could be the next big drag on
the stock market” (Gold and Kantchev). This piece also discusses something called
globalization premium, which is the “estimate of the value globalization adds to stocks”
(Gold and Kantchev). The experts believe that this globalization premium is lower than it
once was and may even no longer exist. The fact of the matter is that global trade is
actually slowing down and many countries are slowing down because countries are
becoming more protective over their own goods.
Is anyone alarmed by experts saying that globalization has hit its pinnacle and will soon
fall? Does anyone think that they are incorrect and that trading will increase again in the
coming years as emerging markets develop? Does anyone fear that U.S. equity
markets may take a huge hit because globalization premium is slowing? Does anyone
have any insights into globalization premium?
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