20 Jun Unit 9 Stats
Post 1What is the difference between theoretical and empirical probability? What is the theoretical probability of flipping a coin and getting a tail? Do you expect the empirical probability to be the same as the theoretical probability? Why or why not?Name your favorite musician, actor, author or artist and do a Google search to find his or her age. Flip a coin one time for each year the person is old. If he or she is 34, flip the coin 34 times. Record the number of tails you obtain.Use the data to determine the empirical probability that the coin will land on tails. Express the probability as a fraction, a decimal, and a percentage. Round your answers to two decimal places, if necessary.Explain your calculations and show all work. Review an example of a response for this Discussion.Post 2Choose one of your classmate’s Post 1 and use the empirical probability to do the following:Find the odds in favor of flipping a coin and getting a tail.Find the odds against.If given the choice, would you rather have the probability of an event or the odds in favor/against an event? Why?Explain how you obtained the odds and show all work. Review an example of a response for this Discussion.Post 3Find and comment on at least one classmate’s post. Make sure your comments are substantive and advance the Discussion. Possibilities for comment include:Apply one of the important probability facts from Section 12.2 to a classmate’s empirical probability.Take the number of tails from your original post and from the original posts of three of your classmates. Add the number of tails from all four AND add the number of flips from all four. Use these numbers to calculate a new probability. How is this different than the probability that you originally obtained? Is it closer to your original probability or to the theoretical probability? Why or why not?Compare a classmate’s empirical probability with the theoretical probability of flipping a coin and getting a tail.Discussion GuidelinesIn this unit’s Discussion, you will interact with your classmates on the course content. Remember, your goal for Discussion Assignments is to ensure that:Responses are on topic, original, and contribute to the quality of the Discussion.Responses make frequent, informed references to unit material.Responses are clearly written.You submit two or more Discussion Board responses to classmates as described in the Discussion Question that are thoughtful and advance the Discussion.Keep in mind that when you post, you should include references to the textbook and any material found online. The class is all about sharing knowledge, so use Discussions as a way of creating a community resource for yourself and your classmates.
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